Duke
W-L: ( 6- 4) PR = 89.6593Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A High Point Big South ( 0- 7, 79.3) 14- 6 212 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 4- 5, 89.7) 10-17 215 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten ( 8- 1, 91.4) 13-14 221 A Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 5- 2, 89.5) 15-14 225 H East Carolina AAC ( 3- 4, 81.5) 18-10 228 H California ACC ( 5- 6, 82.4) 16- 7 304 H Boston College ACC ( 5- 4, 89.8) 17- 6 308 A Stanford ACC ( 9- 0, 95.9) 10-11 314 H Louisville ACC ( 4- 5, 85.7) 16-14 317 H Harvard Ivy League ( 2- 5, 86.2) 12-14 321 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 7- 4, 86.3) 323 A Elon Colonial ( 3- 4, 81.4) 329 A Florida State ACC ( 2- 8, 80.3) 404 H Syracuse ACC ( 6- 3, 93.3) 411 A Clemson ACC ( 6- 4, 93.5) 416 H North Carolina ACC ( 8- 0, 99.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A High Point 14- 6 8 9 -1.07
212 A Pittsburgh 10-17 -7 -1 -- -5.67
215 H Johns Hopkins 13-14 -1 0 -0.61
221 A Richmond 15-14 1 -1 + 2.20
225 H East Carolina 18-10 8 10 -1.50
228 H California 16- 7 9 9 0.46
304 H Boston College 17- 6 11 1 +++ 9.82
308 A Stanford 10-11 -1 -8 +++ 6.56
314 H Louisville 16-14 2 5 - -3.33
317 H Harvard 12-14 -2 5 --- -6.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Harvard 12-14 -2 5 --- -6.84 212 A Pittsburgh 10-17 -7 -1 -- -5.67 314 H Louisville 16-14 2 5 - -3.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Boston College 17- 6 11 1 +++ 9.82 308 A Stanford 10-11 -1 -8 +++ 6.56 221 A Richmond 15-14 1 -1 + 2.20 |
Duke Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Duke | Duke | ||
| Albany | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| American | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Arizona State | Duke | Duke | ||
| Army | Duke | Duke | ||
| Austin Peay | Duke | Duke | ||
| Binghamton | Duke | Duke | ||
| Boston College | Duke | Duke | ||
| Boston University | Duke | Duke | ||
| Brown | Duke | Duke | ||
| Bryant | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Bucknell | Duke | Duke | ||
| Butler | Duke | Duke | ||
| California | Duke | Duke | ||
| Campbell | Duke | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Duke | |
| Canisius | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Central Connecticut | Duke | Duke | ||
| Central Michigan | Duke | Duke | ||
| Cincinnati | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Clemson | Clemson | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Clemson | |
| Coastal Carolina | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Colgate | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Columbia | Duke | Duke | ||
| Connecticut | Duke | Duke | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Davidson | Duke | Duke | ||
| Delaware | Duke | Duke | ||
| Delaware State | Duke | Duke | ||
| Denver | Denver | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Denver | |
| Detroit Mercy | Duke | Duke | ||
| Drexel | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | Duke | Duke | ||
| East Carolina | Duke | Duke | ||
| Eastern Michigan | Duke | Duke | ||
| Elon | Duke | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| Fairfield | Duke | Duke | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Florida State | Duke | Duke 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Furman | Duke | Duke | ||
| Gardner Webb | Duke | Duke | ||
| George Mason | Duke | Duke | ||
| George Washington | Duke | Duke | ||
| Georgetown | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | Duke | Duke | ||
| Hofstra | Duke | Duke | ||
| Holy Cross | Duke | Duke | ||
| Howard (DC) | Duke | Duke | ||
| Iona | Duke | Duke | ||
| Jacksonville | Duke | Duke | ||
| James Madison | Duke | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | Duke | Duke | ||
| Kent State | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| La Salle | Duke | Duke | ||
| Lafayette | Duke | Duke | ||
| Le Moyne | Duke | Duke | ||
| Lehigh | Duke | Duke | ||
| Liberty | Duke | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Duke | |
| Lindenwood | Duke | Duke | ||
| LIU | Duke | Duke | ||
| Longwood | Duke | Duke | ||
| Louisville | Duke | Duke | ||
| Loyola (MD) | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Manhattan | Duke | Duke | ||
| Marist | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Marquette | Duke | Duke | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Duke | Duke | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Duke | Duke | ||
| Mercer | Duke | Duke | ||
| Mercyhurst | Duke | Duke | ||
| Merrimack | Duke | Duke | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Monmouth (NJ) | Duke | Duke | ||
| Mount St Marys | Duke | Duke | ||
| Navy | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| New Hampshire | Duke | Duke | ||
| New Haven | Duke | Duke | ||
| Niagara | Duke | Duke | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Old Dominion | Duke | Duke | ||
| Oregon | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Penn | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Presbyterian | Duke | Duke | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Princeton | |
| Queens | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Quinnipiac | Duke | Duke | ||
| Radford | Duke | Duke | ||
| Rhode Island | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Richmond | Duke | Duke | ||
| Rider | Duke | Duke | ||
| Robert Morris | Duke | Duke | ||
| Rutgers | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Sacred Heart | Duke | Duke | ||
| San Diego State | Duke | Duke 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Siena | Duke | Duke | ||
| South Florida | Duke | Duke | ||
| Southern California | Duke | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| St Bonaventure | Duke | Duke | ||
| St Josephs (PA) | Duke | Duke | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Stetson | Duke | Duke | ||
| Stonehill | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Syracuse | |
| Temple | Duke | Duke | ||
| Towson | Duke | Duke | ||
| UC Davis | Duke | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| UMBC | Duke | Duke | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | Duke | Duke | ||
| Vanderbilt | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| VCU | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Vermont | Duke | Duke | ||
| Villanova | Duke | Duke | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| Virginia Tech | Duke | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Duke | |
| Wagner | Duke | Duke | ||
| William & Mary | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Winthrop | Duke | Duke | ||
| Wofford | Duke | Duke | ||
| Xavier | Duke | Duke | ||
| Yale | Yale | Yale | ||
| Youngstown State | Duke | Duke |
PowerWise = 110
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A High Point ( 0- 7, 79.3) 14- 6 -20.64 19.14 1.33 0.83 33.80
0 A Pittsburgh ( 4- 5, 89.7) 10-17 -10.25 29.54 1.33 0.83 -3.68
0 H Johns Hopkins ( 8- 1, 91.4) 13-14 -8.52 31.26 -1.33 0.83 -4.07
0 A Richmond ( 5- 2, 89.5) 15-14 -10.38 29.41 1.33 0.83 50.75
0 H East Carolina ( 3- 4, 81.5) 18-10 -18.41 21.37 -1.33 0.83 33.09
0 H California ( 5- 6, 82.4) 16- 7 -17.45 22.33 -1.33 0.83 34.67
0 H Boston College ( 5- 4, 89.8) 17- 6 -10.09 29.69 -1.33 0.83 46.83
0 A Stanford ( 9- 0, 95.9) 10-11 -4.02 35.77 1.33 0.83 -1.11
0 H Louisville ( 4- 5, 85.7) 16-14 -14.24 25.55 -1.33 0.83 39.98
0 H Harvard ( 2- 5, 86.2) 12-14 -13.75 26.04 -1.33 0.83 -6.22
------
224.05
|
winning pts = 239.1305 losing points = -15.0799
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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